Derby vs Birmingham: result 3-2 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 24, 2012 at 05:20 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Birmingham?
Derby won 3-2 on November 24, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 32′C. SammonDerby
- 73′M. KingBirmingham (pen.)
- 80′C. SammonDerby
- 82′P. LøvenkrandsBirmingham
- 84′Nathan TysonDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Birmingham have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2012 | Crystal Palace(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Nov 10, 2012 | Millwall(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Nov 6, 2012 | Barnsley(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Nov 3, 2012 | Blackpool(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Oct 27, 2012 | Peterborough(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2012 | Hull City(home) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Nov 10, 2012 | Blackburn(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Nov 6, 2012 | Bristol City(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Nov 3, 2012 | Ipswich(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 27, 2012 | Leeds(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Derby win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Birmingham win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2012 | Birmingham 2-2 Derby | Championship |
| Aug 6, 2011 | Derby 2-1 Birmingham | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Birmingham score 1.3 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Birmingham | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derby sit 16th in Championship (1 points from 2 matches) and Birmingham sit 13th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Birmingham | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy