Derby vs Birmingham: result 3-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 3, 2018 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Birmingham?
Derby won 3-1 on November 3, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 10′L. JutkiewiczBirmingham
- 53′M. BennettDerby
- 55′H. WilsonDerby
- 73′J. MarriottDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Birmingham have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2018 | Chelsea(away) | 2-3 | League Cup |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Middlesbrough(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2018 | West Brom(away) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Oct 20, 2018 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 6, 2018 | QPR(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2018 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Oct 23, 2018 | Reading(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 20, 2018 | Stoke City(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 6, 2018 | Rotherham(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Oct 2, 2018 | Brentford(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Derby win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Birmingham win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2018 | Birmingham 0-3 Derby | Championship |
| Sep 23, 2017 | Derby 1-1 Birmingham | Championship |
| Apr 8, 2017 | Birmingham 1-2 Derby | Championship |
| Dec 27, 2016 | Derby 1-0 Birmingham | Championship |
| Jan 16, 2016 | Derby 0-3 Birmingham | Championship |
| Aug 21, 2015 | Birmingham 1-1 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Birmingham score 1.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Birmingham | 1.1 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derby sit 16th in Championship (1 points from 2 matches) and Birmingham sit 13th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Birmingham | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy