Derby vs Brighton: result 0-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 29, 2011 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Brighton?
Brighton won 0-1 on November 29, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 13′C. Mackail-SmithBrighton
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Brighton have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2011 | West Ham(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Nov 19, 2011 | Hull City(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Nov 5, 2011 | Peterborough(away) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Nov 2, 2011 | Cardiff(home) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Oct 29, 2011 | Portsmouth(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2011 | Coventry(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Nov 19, 2011 | Southampton(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Nov 6, 2011 | Barnsley(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Nov 1, 2011 | Watford(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 29, 2011 | Birmingham(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Brighton score 0.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Brighton | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy