Derby vs Burnley: result 1-2 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 27, 2011 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Burnley?
Burnley won 1-2 on August 27, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 49′C. AustinBurnley
- 71′T. RobinsonDerby
- 74′C. AustinBurnley
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Derby have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Burnley have 2, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2011 | Doncaster(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Aug 17, 2011 | Blackpool(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Aug 13, 2011 | Watford(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Aug 9, 2011 | Shrewsbury(home) | 2-3 | League Cup |
| Aug 6, 2011 | Birmingham(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2011 | Barnet(home) | 3-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 20, 2011 | Cardiff(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 13, 2011 | Crystal Palace(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 9, 2011 | Burton Albion(home) | 6-3 | League Cup |
| Aug 6, 2011 | Watford(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 5; Burnley score 2.4 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.8 | 0.8 | 3 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
| Burnley | 2.4 | 2.0 | 0 | 4/5 | 3/5 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derby sit 16th in Championship (1 points from 2 matches) and Burnley sit 18th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Burnley | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy