Derby vs Cardiff: result 3-4 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 32Kick-off on February 14, 2017 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Cardiff?
Cardiff won 3-4 on February 14, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 7′J. De SartDerby
- 17′D. BentDerby
- 41′K. HarrisCardiff
- 47′K. HarrisCardiff
- 57′C. NooneCardiff
- 74′D. BentDerby
- 90′J. RallsCardiff (pen.)
Official lineup for Derby vs Cardiff
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Derby
4-3-3- 11D. Bent
- 19W. Hughes
- 17J. De Sart
- 8I. Anya
- 10T. Ince
- 18J. Butterfield
- 29M. Olsson
- 16A. Pearce
- 6R. Keogh
- 12C. Baird
- 1S. Carson
Cardiff
4-1-4-1- 26K. Zohorè
- 8J. Ralls
- 24K. Harris
- 11C. Noone
- 17A. Gunnarsson
- 6J. Richards
- 4S. Morrison
- 14S. Bamba
- 15Gregory Halford
- 16Matthew Connolly
- 1A. McGregor
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Cardiff have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2017 | Bristol City(home) | 3-3 | Championship |
| Feb 8, 2017 | Leicester(away) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Feb 4, 2017 | Newcastle(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Jan 31, 2017 | Ipswich(away) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Jan 27, 2017 | Leicester(home) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2017 | Leeds(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Feb 4, 2017 | Norwich(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Jan 31, 2017 | Preston(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Jan 28, 2017 | Reading(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Jan 24, 2017 | Brighton(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Derby wins, 2 draws, 1 Cardiff win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2016 | Cardiff 0-2 Derby | Championship |
| Apr 2, 2016 | Cardiff 2-1 Derby | Championship |
| Nov 21, 2015 | Derby 2-0 Cardiff | Championship |
| Jan 31, 2015 | Cardiff 0-2 Derby | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2014 | Derby 2-2 Cardiff | Championship |
| Mar 5, 2013 | Cardiff 1-1 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Cardiff score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.5 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Cardiff | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derby sit 23rd in Championship (6 points from 9 matches) and Cardiff sit 18th (10 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 6 |
A question about Derby vs Cardiff?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy