Derby vs Carlisle: result 2-0 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 46Kick-off on April 27, 2024 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Carlisle?
Derby won 2-0 on April 27, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 5′M. BirdDerby
- 59′J. CollinsDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Carlisle have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2024 | Cambridge United(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Leyton Orient(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Apr 10, 2024 | Wycombe(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Apr 2, 2024 | Portsmouth(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Blackpool(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2024 | Wycombe(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Blackpool(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Apr 9, 2024 | Cheltenham(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Northampton(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Lincoln(home) | 1-3 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Derby win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Carlisle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2023 | Carlisle 0-2 Derby | League One |
| Aug 23, 2016 | Derby 2-2 Carlisle | League Cup |
| Aug 11, 2014 | Carlisle 0-2 Derby | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.5 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Carlisle score 1.0 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.5 | 0.6 | 9 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Carlisle | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy