Carlisle vs Derby: result 0-2 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 23, 2023 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
Full time
What was the result of Carlisle vs Derby?
Derby won 0-2 on September 23, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 18′J. CollinsDerby
- 84′J. CollinsDerby (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carlisle have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Derby have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2023 | Lincoln(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Stevenage(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Sep 5, 2023 | Accrington ST(away) | 0-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Shrewsbury(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Port Vale(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2023 | Lincoln(home) | 2-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Portsmouth(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Bolton(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Peterborough(away) | 4-2 | League One |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 1-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Carlisle win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2016 | Derby 2-2 Carlisle | League Cup |
| Aug 11, 2014 | Carlisle 0-2 Derby | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Carlisle score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 1.3 | 1.0 | 3 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Derby | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy