Derby vs Carlisle: result 2-2 and analysis
League Cup2nd RoundKick-off on August 23, 2016 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Carlisle?
Derby and Carlisle drew 2-2 on August 23, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 56′D. BentDerby
- 90′M. JonesCarlisle
Official lineup for Derby vs Carlisle
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Derby
- 11D. Bent
- 20Abdoul Razzagui Camara
- 22Nick Blackman
- 29M. Olsson
- 15B. Johnson
- 18J. Butterfield
- 6R. Keogh
- 12C. Baird
- 16A. Pearce
- 25M. Lowe
- 1S. Carson
Carlisle
- 20S. Miller
- 4Luke James Joyce
- 8M. Jones
- 10Nicholas Willia Adams
- 17J. Devitt
- 3D. Grainger
- 5M. Raynes
- 6M. Ellis
- 12M. Gillesphey
- 23T. Miller
- 1M. Gillespie
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Carlisle have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2016 | Aston Villa(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Aug 16, 2016 | Preston(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Aug 13, 2016 | Barnsley(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 9, 2016 | Grimsby(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 6, 2016 | Brighton(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2016 | Cambridge United(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Aug 16, 2016 | Cheltenham(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Aug 13, 2016 | Plymouth(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Aug 9, 2016 | Port Vale(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 6, 2016 | Portsmouth(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Derby win, 0 draws, 0 Carlisle wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2014 | Carlisle 0-2 Derby | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Carlisle score 1.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Carlisle | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Derby vs Carlisle?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy