Derby vs Charlton: result 3-2 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 18, 2012 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Charlton?
Derby won 3-2 on September 18, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 7′Jamie John WardDerby
- 53′Craig James BrysonDerby
- 63′Jamie John WardDerby (pen.)
- 70′Daniel Green ICharlton
- 72′Yann KermorgantCharlton
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Charlton have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2012 | Huddersfield(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 1, 2012 | Watford(home) | 5-1 | Championship |
| Aug 25, 2012 | Wolves(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 21, 2012 | Bolton(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 18, 2012 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2012 | Crystal Palace(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 1, 2012 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 25, 2012 | Hull City(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Aug 21, 2012 | Leicester(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 18, 2012 | Birmingham(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Charlton score 1.4 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Charlton | 1.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derby sit 16th in Championship (1 points from 2 matches) and Charlton sit 3rd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Charlton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy