Derby vs Charlton: result 3-2 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 18, 2012 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Charlton?
Derby won 3-2 on September 18, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 7′Jamie John WardDerby
- 53′Craig James BrysonDerby
- 63′Jamie John WardDerby (pen.)
- 70′Daniel Green ICharlton
- 72′Yann KermorgantCharlton
Official lineup for Derby vs Charlton
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Derby
- 10Jamie John Ward
- 32C. Sammon
- 4Craig James Bryson
- 7P. Coutts
- 8J. Hendrick
- 19W. Hughes
- 2J. Brayford
- 3Gareth Roberts
- 6R. Keogh
- 16James O'Connor
- 1F. Fielding
Charlton
- 10B. Wright-Phillips
- 18Yann Kermorgant
- 4J. Jackson
- 7Daniel Green I
- 8D. Stephens
- 22Daniel Timothy Hollands
- 5M. Morrison
- 20C. Solly
- 23L. Wilson
- 28L. Cort
- 1B. Hamer
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Charlton have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2012 | Huddersfield(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 1, 2012 | Watford(home) | 5-1 | Championship |
| Aug 25, 2012 | Wolves(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 21, 2012 | Bolton(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 18, 2012 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2012 | Crystal Palace(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 1, 2012 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 25, 2012 | Hull City(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Aug 21, 2012 | Leicester(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 18, 2012 | Birmingham(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Charlton score 1.4 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Charlton | 1.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derby sit 23rd in Championship (6 points from 10 matches) and Charlton sit 13th (14 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Charlton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 14 |
| 23 | Derby | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 6 |
A question about Derby vs Charlton?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy