Derby vs Grimsby: result 1-0 and analysis
League Cup1st RoundKick-off on August 9, 2016 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Grimsby?
Derby won 1-0 on August 9, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 60′R. KeoghDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Grimsby have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2016 | Brighton(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| May 17, 2016 | Hull City(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| May 14, 2016 | Hull City(home) | 0-3 | Championship |
| May 7, 2016 | Ipswich(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| May 2, 2016 | Brighton(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2016 | Morecambe(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| May 22, 2016 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 0-1 | FA Trophy |
| Apr 30, 2016 | Tranmere(away) | 0-1 | National League |
| Apr 23, 2016 | Chester(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Apr 19, 2016 | Woking(away) | 3-1 | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Grimsby score 1.3 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Grimsby | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy