Derby vs Leicester: result 2-2 and analysis
FA Cup4th RoundKick-off on January 27, 2017 at 07:55 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Leicester?
Derby and Leicester drew 2-2 on January 27, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 8′D. BentLeicester (o.g.)
- 21′D. BentDerby
- 40′Craig James BrysonDerby
- 86′W. MorganLeicester
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Leicester have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2017 | Reading(home) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Jan 13, 2017 | Leeds(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Jan 7, 2017 | West Brom(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Jan 2, 2017 | Norwich(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Dec 31, 2016 | Wigan(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2017 | Southampton(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Jan 14, 2017 | Chelsea(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Jan 7, 2017 | Everton(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Jan 2, 2017 | Middlesbrough(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 31, 2016 | West Ham(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Derby win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Leicester win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2014 | Leicester 4-1 Derby | Championship |
| Sep 24, 2013 | Leicester 2-1 Derby | League Cup |
| Aug 17, 2013 | Derby 0-1 Leicester | Championship |
| Mar 16, 2013 | Derby 2-1 Leicester | Championship |
| Dec 1, 2012 | Leicester 4-1 Derby | Championship |
| Feb 23, 2012 | Derby 0-1 Leicester | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Leicester score 1.1 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.5 | 0.8 | 8 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Leicester | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy