Leicester vs Derby: result 4-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 25Kick-off on January 10, 2014 at 07:45 PM (UTC)King Power Stadium, Leicester, Leicestershire
Full time
What was the result of Leicester vs Derby?
Leicester won 4-1 on January 10, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 25′R. De LaetLeicester
- 48′D. NugentLeicester
- 59′R. De LaetDerby (o.g.)
- 60′D. NugentLeicester (pen.)
- 64′J. VardyLeicester
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leicester have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Derby have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2014 | Stoke City(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Jan 1, 2014 | Millwall(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2013 | Bolton(home) | 5-3 | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2013 | Reading(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Dec 21, 2013 | QPR(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2014 | Chelsea(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Jan 1, 2014 | Wigan(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2013 | Barnsley(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2013 | Huddersfield(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Dec 21, 2013 | Doncaster(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Leicester win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2013 | Leicester 2-1 Derby | League Cup |
| Aug 17, 2013 | Derby 0-1 Leicester | Championship |
| Mar 16, 2013 | Derby 2-1 Leicester | Championship |
| Dec 1, 2012 | Leicester 4-1 Derby | Championship |
| Feb 23, 2012 | Derby 0-1 Leicester | Championship |
| Oct 1, 2011 | Leicester 4-0 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Leicester score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 2.0 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Derby | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy