Derby vs Millwall: result 3-0 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 24, 2011 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Millwall?
Derby won 3-0 on September 24, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 24′Craig James BrysonDerby
- 38′J. HendrickDerby
- 65′S. DaviesDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Derby have 5 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Millwall have 3, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2011 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 10, 2011 | Coventry(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 27, 2011 | Burnley(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 20, 2011 | Doncaster(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Aug 17, 2011 | Blackpool(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2011 | Wolves(away) | 0-5 | League Cup |
| Sep 17, 2011 | West Ham(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 11, 2011 | Birmingham(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Aug 27, 2011 | Barnsley(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Aug 23, 2011 | Morecambe(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 8; Millwall score 0.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 4/8 | 5/8 |
| Millwall | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 2/10 | 4/10 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derby sit 16th in Championship (1 points from 2 matches) and Millwall sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millwall | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy