Derby vs Reading: result 2-1 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 38Kick-off on March 12, 2024 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
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What was the result of Derby vs Reading?
Derby won 2-1 on March 12, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 53′D. GayleDerby
- 56′S. SmithReading
- 70′C. HourihaneDerby (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Reading have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 3-0 | League One |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Port Vale(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Feb 27, 2024 | Charlton(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Barnsley(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Stevenage(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | Wycombe(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Carlisle(away) | 3-1 | League One |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Shrewsbury(home) | 2-3 | League One |
| Feb 20, 2024 | Port Vale(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Portsmouth(away) | 1-4 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Derby win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Reading win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | Reading 1-0 Derby | League One |
| Jan 3, 2022 | Reading 2-2 Derby | Championship |
| Sep 29, 2021 | Derby 1-0 Reading | Championship |
| Apr 5, 2021 | Reading 3-1 Derby | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2020 | Derby 0-2 Reading | Championship |
| Jun 27, 2020 | Derby 2-1 Reading | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Reading score 1.4 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Reading | 1.4 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Reading | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy