Derby vs Reading: result 3-2 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 21, 2017 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Reading?
Derby won 3-2 on January 21, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 16′J. SwiftReading
- 36′D. BentDerby
- 63′T. InceDerby
- 74′W. HughesDerby
- 80′Y. MeïtéReading
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Reading have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2017 | Leeds(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Jan 7, 2017 | West Brom(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Jan 2, 2017 | Norwich(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Dec 31, 2016 | Wigan(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Dec 27, 2016 | Birmingham(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2017 | QPR(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Jan 7, 2017 | Manchester United(away) | 0-4 | FA Cup |
| Jan 2, 2017 | Bristol City(away) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2016 | Norwich(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Dec 17, 2016 | Blackburn(away) | 3-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Derby win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Reading win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2016 | Reading 1-1 Derby | Championship |
| Jan 12, 2016 | Derby 1-1 Reading | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2015 | Reading 0-1 Derby | Championship |
| May 2, 2015 | Derby 0-3 Reading | Championship |
| Feb 14, 2015 | Derby 1-2 Reading | FA Cup |
| Oct 18, 2014 | Reading 0-3 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Reading score 1.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.3 | 0.7 | 9 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| Reading | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy