Derby vs Reading: result 2-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 19, 2019 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Reading?
Derby won 2-1 on January 19, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 3′D. HolmesDerby
- 40′H. WilsonDerby
- 66′S. AlukoReading
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Reading have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2019 | Southampton(away) | 4-4 | FA Cup |
| Jan 11, 2019 | Leeds(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Jan 5, 2019 | Southampton(home) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Jan 1, 2019 | Middlesbrough(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2018 | Norwich(away) | 4-3 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2019 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Jan 5, 2019 | Manchester United(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Jan 1, 2019 | Swansea(home) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2018 | QPR(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2018 | Millwall(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Derby win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Reading win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2018 | Reading 1-2 Derby | Championship |
| Feb 24, 2018 | Reading 3-3 Derby | Championship |
| Nov 4, 2017 | Derby 2-4 Reading | Championship |
| Jan 21, 2017 | Derby 3-2 Reading | Championship |
| Oct 1, 2016 | Reading 1-1 Derby | Championship |
| Jan 12, 2016 | Derby 1-1 Reading | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Reading score 0.8 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Reading | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy