Derby vs Southampton: result 1-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 4, 2025 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Southampton?
Derby and Southampton drew 1-1 on October 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 7′A. ArmstrongSouthampton
- 40′P. AgyemangDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Southampton have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2025 | Charlton(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Wrexham(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Preston(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 13, 2025 | West Brom(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Ipswich(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2025 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Middlesbrough(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Liverpool(away) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Hull City(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Portsmouth(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Derby win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Southampton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2019 | Southampton 4-4 Derby | FA Cup |
| Jan 5, 2019 | Derby 2-2 Southampton | FA Cup |
| Feb 18, 2012 | Southampton 4-0 Derby | Championship |
| Oct 15, 2011 | Derby 1-1 Southampton | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Southampton score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 7/15 |
| Southampton | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derby sit 16th in Championship (1 points from 2 matches) and Southampton sit 24th (-1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 24 | Southampton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy