Southampton vs Derby: result 4-4 and analysis
FA Cup3rd Round ReplaysKick-off on January 16, 2019 at 07:45 PM (UTC)St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire
Full time
What was the result of Southampton vs Derby?
Southampton and Derby drew 4-4 on January 16, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 68′S. ArmstrongSouthampton
- 70′N. RedmondSouthampton
- 76′H. WilsonDerby
- 82′M. WaghornDerby
Official lineup for Southampton vs Derby
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Southampton
3-4-2-1- 7S. Long
- 16J. Ward-Prowse
- 11M. Elyounoussi
- 17S. Armstrong
- 14Oriol Romeu
- 66K. Ramsay
- 51T. Johnson
- 5J. Stephens
- 4J. Vestergaard
- 2Cédric Soares
- 28A. Gunn
Derby
4-3-3- 14J. Marriott
- 9M. Waghorn
- 8M. Mount
- 7H. Wilson
- 4Craig James Bryson
- 44T. Huddlestone
- 37J. Bogle
- 5F. Tomori
- 46S. Malone
- 6R. Keogh
- 21K. Roos
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southampton have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Derby have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2019 | Leicester(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 5, 2019 | Derby(away) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Jan 2, 2019 | Chelsea(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 30, 2018 | Manchester City(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Dec 27, 2018 | West Ham(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2019 | Leeds(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Jan 5, 2019 | Southampton(home) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Jan 1, 2019 | Middlesbrough(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2018 | Norwich(away) | 4-3 | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2018 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Southampton win, 2 draws, 0 Derby wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2019 | Derby 2-2 Southampton | FA Cup |
| Feb 18, 2012 | Southampton 4-0 Derby | Championship |
| Oct 15, 2011 | Derby 1-1 Southampton | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Southampton score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.4 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Derby | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Southampton vs Derby?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy