Southampton vs Derby: result 4-4 and analysis
FA Cup3rd Round ReplaysKick-off on January 16, 2019 at 07:45 PM (UTC)St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire
Full time
What was the result of Southampton vs Derby?
Southampton and Derby drew 4-4 on January 16, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 68′S. ArmstrongSouthampton
- 70′N. RedmondSouthampton
- 76′H. WilsonDerby
- 82′M. WaghornDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southampton have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Derby have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2019 | Leicester(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 5, 2019 | Derby(away) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Jan 2, 2019 | Chelsea(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 30, 2018 | Manchester City(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Dec 27, 2018 | West Ham(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2019 | Leeds(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Jan 5, 2019 | Southampton(home) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Jan 1, 2019 | Middlesbrough(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2018 | Norwich(away) | 4-3 | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2018 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Southampton win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2019 | Derby 2-2 Southampton | FA Cup |
| Feb 18, 2012 | Southampton 4-0 Derby | Championship |
| Oct 15, 2011 | Derby 1-1 Southampton | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Southampton score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.4 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Derby | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy