Derby vs Watford: result 2-3 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 22, 2025 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
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What was the result of Derby vs Watford?
Watford won 2-3 on November 22, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 36′D. SandersonDerby
- 54′S. LangåsDerby
- 61′L. KjerrumgaardWatford
- 85′E. KayembeWatford (pen.)
- 88′E. KayembeWatford
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Watford have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | Blackburn(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Hull City(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Oct 25, 2025 | QPR(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Norwich(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2025 | Bristol City(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Ipswich(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Middlesbrough(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Coventry(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Oct 22, 2025 | West Brom(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Derby win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Watford win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | Derby 0-2 Watford | Championship |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Watford 2-1 Derby | Championship |
| Feb 19, 2021 | Watford 2-1 Derby | Championship |
| Oct 16, 2020 | Derby 0-1 Watford | Championship |
| Apr 3, 2015 | Derby 2-2 Watford | Championship |
| Nov 22, 2014 | Watford 1-2 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Watford score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Watford | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derby sit 17th in Championship (1 points from 2 matches) and Watford sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Watford | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 17 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy