Derby vs Watford: result 0-2 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 18, 2025 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Watford?
Watford won 0-2 on January 18, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 4′I. LouzaWatford
- 66′E. KayembeWatford
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Watford have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | Leyton Orient(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Bristol City(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Jan 1, 2025 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 2-4 | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2024 | Leeds(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2024 | West Brom(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | Cardiff(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Jan 9, 2025 | Fulham(away) | 1-4 | FA Cup |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Jan 1, 2025 | QPR(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2024 | Cardiff(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Derby win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Watford win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2024 | Watford 2-1 Derby | Championship |
| Feb 19, 2021 | Watford 2-1 Derby | Championship |
| Oct 16, 2020 | Derby 0-1 Watford | Championship |
| Apr 3, 2015 | Derby 2-2 Watford | Championship |
| Nov 22, 2014 | Watford 1-2 Derby | Championship |
| Apr 26, 2014 | Derby 4-2 Watford | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Watford score 1.4 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Watford | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derby sit 16th in Championship (1 points from 2 matches) and Watford sit 7th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Watford | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy