Derby vs Watford: result 0-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 16, 2020 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
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What was the result of Derby vs Watford?
Watford won 0-1 on October 16, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 76′João PedroWatford
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Watford have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2020 | Norwich(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 26, 2020 | Blackburn(home) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Luton(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2020 | Preston(home) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2020 | Reading(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2020 | Reading(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 26, 2020 | Luton(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 22, 2020 | Newport County(away) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2020 | Oxford United(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Derby win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Watford win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2015 | Derby 2-2 Watford | Championship |
| Nov 22, 2014 | Watford 1-2 Derby | Championship |
| Apr 26, 2014 | Derby 4-2 Watford | Championship |
| Oct 19, 2013 | Watford 2-3 Derby | Championship |
| Feb 23, 2013 | Watford 2-1 Derby | Championship |
| Sep 1, 2012 | Derby 5-1 Watford | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 0.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Watford score 1.0 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 0.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Watford | 1.0 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derby sit 16th in Championship (1 points from 2 matches) and Watford sit 7th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Watford | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy