Deren vs Erchim: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Football Centre MFF, Ulan Bator (Ulaanbaatar)
The Footlab AI model makes Deren the favourite at 77%, against 13% for a draw and 10% for Erchim. The most likely score is 3-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deren vs Erchim?
Deren starts as the favourite with a 280-point Elo edge (1,634 vs 1,354).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Deren vs Erchim
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Deren
Not enough data to predict the Deren lineup.
Erchim
4-3-3- 15Gal-Erdene Soyol-Erdene
- 10Munkh-Erdene Tuguldur
- 12Davaajav Battur
- 11Batbilguun Ganbaatar
- 24Tumurbaatar Dulguun
- 20Bilgüün Ganbold
- 8Enkhjargal Tserenjavyn
- 33Shinezuum Chunchignorov
- 32Davaakhuu Zoljargal
- 27Galt Tuguldur
- 1Ariunbold Batsaikhan
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:07 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deren have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Erchim have 2, 0 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Central Stallions(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Khovd(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Khovd Western(away) | 5-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Amtat FC(home) | 5-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ulaangom City(away) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ulaanbaatar(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Central Stallions(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Khovd(home) | 2-8 | Premier League |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Khovd Western(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Amtat FC(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Deren wins, 3 draws, 0 Erchim wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 2025 | Erchim 1-3 Deren | Premier League |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Deren 1-1 Erchim | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Erchim 2-2 Deren | Premier League |
| May 16, 2024 | Erchim 1-6 Deren | Premier League |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Deren 7-0 Erchim | Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2023 | Erchim 0-0 Deren | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Deren score 3.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Erchim score 1.3 and concede 3.9. The model gives a 86% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deren | 3.6 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Erchim | 1.3 | 3.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deren sit 3rd in Premier League (14 points from 7 matches) and Erchim sit 6th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Deren | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 14 |
| 6 | Erchim | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 6 |
A question about Deren vs Erchim?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deren vs Erchim?
- The Footlab AI model makes Deren the favourite at 77%, against 13% for a draw and 10% for Erchim.
- Where and when is Deren vs Erchim played?
- Deren vs Erchim is played on October 14, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Football Centre MFF, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 86% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.