Derry City vs CSKA Sofia: result 1-2 and analysis
UEFA Europa League1st Qualifying RoundKick-off on July 16, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Londonderry
Full time
What was the result of Derry City vs CSKA Sofia?
CSKA Sofia won 1-2 on July 16, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 47′E. ChapmanDerry City
- 62′I. PittasCSKA Sofia
- 90′B. CotterCSKA Sofia (o.g.)
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab model gave a CSKA Sofia win at 44%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1 — actual score: 1-2.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derry City have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; CSKA Sofia have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Waterford(home) | 2-4 | Premier Division |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Drogheda United(home) | 2-0 | Premier Division |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers(away) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Galway United(away) | 1-2 | Premier Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2026 | Derry City(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Marek(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Polessya(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| May 20, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Derry City win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 CSKA Sofia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2026 | CSKA Sofia 3-2 Derry City | UEFA Europa League |
Last archived meeting: CSKA Sofia vs Derry City on Jul 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Derry City score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA Sofia score 1.2 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derry City | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| CSKA Sofia | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy