Aluminij vs Sheriff Tiraspol: result 0-1 and analysis
UEFA Europa League1st Qualifying RoundKick-off on July 16, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Športni Park Aluminij, Kidričevo
Full time
What was the result of Aluminij vs Sheriff Tiraspol?
Sheriff Tiraspol won 0-1 on July 16, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 5′K. LoukouSheriff Tiraspol
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab model gave a Aluminij win at 49%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1 — actual score: 0-1.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aluminij have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Sheriff Tiraspol have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2026 | Sheriff Tiraspol(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jun 28, 2026 | FC Noah(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Rače(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Maribor(away) | 0-3 | 1. SNL |
| May 16, 2026 | Primorje(home) | 0-0 | 1. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2026 | Aluminij(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Sireți(home) | 3-0 | Super Liga |
| May 23, 2026 | Zimbru(home) | 2-0 | Cupa |
| May 17, 2026 | Milsami Orhei(away) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
| May 13, 2026 | Petrocub(home) | 2-0 | Cupa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Aluminij win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Sheriff Tiraspol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2026 | Sheriff Tiraspol 0-0 Aluminij | UEFA Europa League |
Last archived meeting: Sheriff Tiraspol vs Aluminij on Jul 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aluminij score 0.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sheriff Tiraspol score 1.5 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aluminij | 0.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Sheriff Tiraspol | 1.5 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy