Sestri Levante vs Valenzana: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 32Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Sivori, Sestri Levante
The Footlab AI model makes Sestri Levante the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Valenzana. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sestri Levante wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sestri Levante vs Valenzana?
On Elo ratings, Sestri Levante has 1,763 points and Valenzana 1,696.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sestri Levante vs Valenzana
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sestri Levante
Not enough data to predict the Sestri Levante lineup.
Valenzana
Not enough data to predict the Valenzana lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 04:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sestri Levante have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Valenzana have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Lucchese(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Ligorna(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Saluzzo(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sanremese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Celle Varazze(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Celle Varazze(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Biellese(home) | 3-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ligorna(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Biellese(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sanremese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Sestri Levante wins, 1 draw, 1 Valenzana win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Valenzana 1-0 Sestri Levante | Serie D - Girone A |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Sestri Levante 1-1 Valenzana | Serie D - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Valenzana vs Sestri Levante on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sestri Levante score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Valenzana score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sestri Levante | 0.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Valenzana | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sestri Levante sit 16th in Serie D - Girone A (10 points from 10 matches) and Valenzana sit 17th (5 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Sestri Levante | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 10 |
| 17 | Valenzana | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 5 |
A question about Sestri Levante vs Valenzana?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sestri Levante vs Valenzana?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sestri Levante the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Valenzana.
- Where and when is Sestri Levante vs Valenzana played?
- Sestri Levante vs Valenzana is played on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Sivori, in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.