Desenzano Calvina vs Progresso: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone DGroup D · Matchday 22Kick-off on February 1, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Tre Stelle, Desenzano del Garda
Full time
What was the result of Desenzano Calvina vs Progresso?
Desenzano Calvina won 3-1 on February 1, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 8′M. GoriDesenzano Calvina
- 23′562228Progresso
- 36′A. BrighentiDesenzano Calvina (pen.)
- 53′M. GasperiDesenzano Calvina
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Desenzano Calvina have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Progresso have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Correggese(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Tuttocuoio(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Pro Palazzolo(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Piacenza(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Sangiuliano City(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Crema(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Coriano(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Trevigliese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Jan 6, 2026 | Pro Sesto(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Sasso Marconi Zola(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Desenzano Calvina win, 0 draws, 0 Progresso wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2025 | Progresso 0-1 Desenzano Calvina | Serie D - Girone D |
Last archived meeting: Progresso vs Desenzano Calvina on Sep 28, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Desenzano Calvina score 2.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Progresso score 1.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desenzano Calvina | 2.2 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Progresso | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Desenzano Calvina sit 1st in Serie D - Girone D (77 points from 34 matches) and Progresso sit 12th (36 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 60 | 21 | 77 |
| 12 | Progresso | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 41 | 36 |
A question about Desenzano Calvina vs Progresso?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy