Progresso vs Desenzano Calvina: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 5Kick-off on September 28, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Progresso, Castel Maggiore
Full time
What was the result of Progresso vs Desenzano Calvina?
Desenzano Calvina won 0-1 on September 28, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 81′G. GabbianelliDesenzano Calvina (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progresso have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Desenzano Calvina have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2025 | Crema(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Coriano(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Trevigliese(away) | 3-4 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Pro Sesto(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Adriese(home) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2025 | Correggese(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Tuttocuoio(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Pro Palazzolo(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Piacenza(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Breno(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Progresso score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Desenzano Calvina score 1.3 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresso | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Desenzano Calvina | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progresso sit 12th in Serie D - Girone D (36 points from 33 matches) and Desenzano Calvina sit 1st (77 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 60 | 21 | 77 |
| 12 | Progresso | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 41 | 36 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 28, 2025Piacenza2-2Pistoiese
- Sep 28, 2025Tuttocuoio0-0Imolese
- Sep 28, 2025Pro Sesto1-1Crema
- Sep 28, 2025Correggese0-0Sangiuliano City
- Sep 28, 2025Lentigione1-0Rovato Vertovese
- Sep 28, 2025Sant'Angelo2-0Cittadella Vis Modena
- Sep 28, 2025Pro Palazzolo1-0Sasso Marconi Zola
- Sep 28, 2025Trevigliese1-2Coriano