Where and when is Terranuova Traiana vs Progresso played?

Terranuova Traiana vs Progresso is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Mario Matteini, in the Serie D - Girone E.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Terranuova Traiana vs Progresso: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Mario Matteini, Terranuova Bracciolini

Terranuova Traiana

Progresso

The Footlab model makes Terranuova Traiana the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Progresso. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Terranuova Traiana vs Progresso?

A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Terranuova Traiana (1,680) and Progresso (1,681).

Terranuova Traiana win42 %

Draw30 %

Progresso win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Terranuova Traiana have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Progresso have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Terranuova Traiana
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Grosseto(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	Orvietana Calcio(home)	0-0	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026	Tau Altopascio(away)	2-3	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 19, 2026	Camaiore(home)	2-1	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 12, 2026	Montevarchi Calcio(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone E

Progresso
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Sasso Marconi Zola(home)	4-1	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 26, 2026	Sant'Angelo(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 19, 2026	Lentigione(away)	2-1	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 12, 2026	Correggese(home)	1-1	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 2, 2026	Tuttocuoio(away)	2-0	Serie D - Girone D

How many goals should we expect?

Terranuova Traiana score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Progresso score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Terranuova Traiana	0.9	0.9	6	5/15	3/15
Progresso	1.0	1.3	3	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Terranuova Traiana	34	14	9	11	28	30	51

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Terranuova Traiana vs Progresso?: The Footlab model makes Terranuova Traiana the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Progresso.
Where and when is Terranuova Traiana vs Progresso played?: Terranuova Traiana vs Progresso is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Mario Matteini, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.