Deveronvale vs Keith: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 23Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Princess Royal Park, Banff
The Footlab model makes Keith the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Deveronvale. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deveronvale vs Keith?
Keith starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,476 vs 1,345).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deveronvale have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Keith have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Forres Mechanics(home) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rothes(home) | 3-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Invergordon(away) | 0-3 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Huntly(away) | 0-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Turriff United(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Formartine United(away) | 1-4 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Clachnacuddin(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lossiemouth(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Fraserburgh(away) | 0-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nairn County(home) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Deveronvale win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Keith win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Keith 2-0 Deveronvale | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 13, 2025 | Deveronvale 3-2 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Deveronvale 3-2 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Keith 3-1 Deveronvale | Football League - Highland League |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Keith 3-2 Deveronvale | Football League - Highland League |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Deveronvale 1-0 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Deveronvale score 1.0 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Keith score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deveronvale | 1.0 | 2.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Keith | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deveronvale sit 14th in Football League - Highland League (37 points from 34 matches) and Keith sit 6th (58 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Keith | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 52 | 47 | 58 |
| 14 | Deveronvale | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 46 | 87 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deveronvale vs Keith?
- The Footlab model makes Keith the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Deveronvale.
- Where and when is Deveronvale vs Keith played?
- Deveronvale vs Keith is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Princess Royal Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 9, 2027Brora RangersvsStrathspey Thistle
- Jan 9, 2027Formartine UnitedvsRothes
- Jan 9, 2027FraserburghvsInverurie Loco Works
- Jan 9, 2027ClachnacuddinvsForres Mechanics
- Jan 9, 2027LossiemouthvsNairn County
- Jan 9, 2027Turriff UnitedvsBanks O' Dee
- Jan 9, 2027HuntlyvsBuckie Thistle
- Jan 9, 2027InvergordonvsWick Academy