Lossiemouth vs Nairn County: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 23Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Grant Park, Lossiemouth
The Footlab model makes Nairn County the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Lossiemouth. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lossiemouth vs Nairn County?
Nairn County starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (1,404 vs 1,246).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lossiemouth have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Nairn County have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fraserburgh(home) | 0-4 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Nairn County(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Forres Mechanics(home) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Keith(away) | 2-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Rothes(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Clachnacuddin(away) | 1-6 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lossiemouth(home) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fraserburgh(away) | 0-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Inverurie Loco Works(away) | 1-3 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Forres Mechanics(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Lossiemouth win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Nairn County win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Nairn County 1-1 Lossiemouth | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Nairn County 1-0 Lossiemouth | Football League - Highland League |
| Nov 19, 2025 | Lossiemouth 1-3 Nairn County | Football League - Highland League |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Nairn County 3-1 Lossiemouth | Football League - Highland League |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Lossiemouth 0-4 Nairn County | Football League - Highland League |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Nairn County 5-1 Lossiemouth | Football League - Highland League |
Last archived meeting: Nairn County vs Lossiemouth on Aug 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lossiemouth score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nairn County score 1.0 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lossiemouth | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Nairn County | 1.0 | 2.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lossiemouth sit 17th in Football League - Highland League (17 points from 34 matches) and Nairn County sit 9th (49 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nairn County | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 56 | 52 | 49 |
| 17 | Lossiemouth | 34 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 76 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lossiemouth vs Nairn County?
- The Footlab model makes Nairn County the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Lossiemouth.
- Where and when is Lossiemouth vs Nairn County played?
- Lossiemouth vs Nairn County is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Grant Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 9, 2027Brora RangersvsStrathspey Thistle
- Jan 9, 2027Formartine UnitedvsRothes
- Jan 9, 2027FraserburghvsInverurie Loco Works
- Jan 9, 2027ClachnacuddinvsForres Mechanics
- Jan 9, 2027DeveronvalevsKeith
- Jan 9, 2027Turriff UnitedvsBanks O' Dee
- Jan 9, 2027HuntlyvsBuckie Thistle
- Jan 9, 2027InvergordonvsWick Academy