Diambars vs ES Zarzis: prediction and stats
CAF Confederation Cup1st Preliminary RoundKick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Fodé Wade, Saly
The Footlab model makes ES Zarzis the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Diambars. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Diambars vs ES Zarzis?
ES Zarzis is a heavy favourite: 1,852 Elo points against 1,530 — a 322-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Diambars have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; ES Zarzis have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 2024 | Génération Foot(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| May 26, 2024 | DSC(away) | 2-7 | Ligue 1 |
| May 18, 2024 | Guédiawaye(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 12, 2024 | La Linguère(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 4, 2024 | Ouakam(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Olympique Béja(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 31, 2026 | ES Tunis(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| May 24, 2026 | CS Sfaxien(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| May 20, 2026 | CA Bizertin(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| May 13, 2026 | CA Bizertin(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Diambars score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; ES Zarzis score 1.0 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diambars | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| ES Zarzis | 1.0 | 0.5 | 9 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Diambars vs ES Zarzis?
- The Footlab model makes ES Zarzis the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Diambars.
- Where and when is Diambars vs ES Zarzis played?
- Diambars vs ES Zarzis is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Fodé Wade, in the CAF Confederation Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.