Diambars vs Stade de Mbour: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Matchday 5Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stade Fodé Wade, Saly
The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 33% for Diambars, 39% for a draw, 28% for Stade de Mbour. The most likely score is 0-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,605 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Diambars vs Stade de Mbour?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Diambars (1,557) and Stade de Mbour (1,574).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Diambars vs Stade de Mbour
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Diambars
4-3-3- 10M. Diaw
- 11B. Mboup
- 30S. Manga
- 5I. Boye
- 21C. Bodian
- 27Mouhamed Guèye I
- 24B. Sané
- 4B. Diallo
- 13C. Faye
- 25C. Diouf
- 1E. Sakho
Stade de Mbour
Not enough data to predict the Stade de Mbour lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 04:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Diambars have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Stade de Mbour have 2, 9 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Casa Sport(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | AJEL(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | HLM(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Essamaye(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | ES Zarzis(home) | 1-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Jaraaf(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 30, 2026 | HLM(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Guédiawaye(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Wally Daan(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Gorée(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Diambars wins, 1 draw, 1 Stade de Mbour win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | Diambars 0-3 Stade de Mbour | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Stade de Mbour 1-1 Diambars | Ligue 1 |
| May 6, 2023 | Diambars 1-0 Stade de Mbour | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 27, 2022 | Stade de Mbour 0-2 Diambars | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 27, 2021 | Diambars 1-0 Stade de Mbour | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 28, 2021 | Stade de Mbour 1-2 Diambars | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Diambars vs Stade de Mbour on Apr 13, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Diambars score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Stade de Mbour score 0.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 18% probability of over 2.5 goals and 28% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diambars | 0.9 | 1.6 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Stade de Mbour | 0.5 | 0.8 | 8 | 4/15 | 1/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Diambars sit 7th in Ligue 1 (5 points from 4 matches) and Stade de Mbour sit 10th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Diambars | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | Stade de Mbour | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
A question about Diambars vs Stade de Mbour?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Diambars vs Stade de Mbour?
- The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 33% for Diambars, 39% for a draw, 28% for Stade de Mbour.
- Where and when is Diambars vs Stade de Mbour played?
- Diambars vs Stade de Mbour is played on November 14, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Fodé Wade, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 18% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.