Essamaye vs Guédiawaye: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Matchday 5Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 28% for Essamaye, 40% for a draw, 32% for Guédiawaye. The most likely score is 0-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,605 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Essamaye vs Guédiawaye?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Essamaye (1,566) and Guédiawaye (1,599).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Essamaye vs Guédiawaye
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Essamaye
Not enough data to predict the Essamaye lineup.
Guédiawaye
Not enough data to predict the Guédiawaye lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 04:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Essamaye have 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Guédiawaye have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Gorée(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | DSC(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Pikine(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Diambars(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | La Linguère(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Casa Sport(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Stade de Mbour(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | DSC(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Teungueth(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Essamaye score 0.0 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 4; Guédiawaye score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 16% probability of over 2.5 goals and 25% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Essamaye | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2 | 0/4 | 0/4 |
| Guédiawaye | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Essamaye sit 15th in Ligue 1 (2 points from 4 matches) and Guédiawaye sit 4th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Guédiawaye | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
| 15 | Essamaye | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
A question about Essamaye vs Guédiawaye?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Essamaye vs Guédiawaye?
- The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 28% for Essamaye, 40% for a draw, 32% for Guédiawaye.
- Where and when is Essamaye vs Guédiawaye played?
- Essamaye vs Guédiawaye is played on November 14, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC), in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 16% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.