HLM vs Gorée: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Matchday 5Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Demba Diop
The Footlab AI model makes Gorée the favourite at 40%, against 35% for a draw and 25% for HLM. The most likely score is 0-0. If Gorée wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,605 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win HLM vs Gorée?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate HLM (1,615) and Gorée (1,694).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for HLM vs Gorée
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
HLM
Not enough data to predict the HLM lineup.
Gorée
Not enough data to predict the Gorée lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 04:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HLM have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Gorée have 6, 8 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Teungueth(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Stade de Mbour(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Diambars(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Casa Sport(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Pikine(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Essamaye(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Ouakam(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | DSC(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | La Linguère(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Stade de Mbour(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 HLM wins, 1 draw, 3 Gorée wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Gorée 1-1 HLM | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 11, 2026 | HLM 0-5 Gorée | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Gorée 1-0 HLM | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 1, 2024 | HLM 1-2 Gorée | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
HLM score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gorée score 0.8 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 24% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLM | 1.2 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Gorée | 0.8 | 0.4 | 10 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
HLM sit 2nd in Ligue 1 (10 points from 4 matches) and Gorée sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gorée | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 10 |
| 2 | HLM | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
A question about HLM vs Gorée?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for HLM vs Gorée?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gorée the favourite at 40%, against 35% for a draw and 25% for HLM.
- Where and when is HLM vs Gorée played?
- HLM vs Gorée is played on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Demba Diop, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 24% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.