Digenis Neochori vs Trikala: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4Group 4 - 16Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Oichalias Babis Papachatzis, Oichalia
The Footlab model makes Trikala the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Digenis Neochori. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Digenis Neochori vs Trikala?
Trikala starts as the favourite with a 176-point Elo edge (1,542 vs 1,366).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Digenis Neochori have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Trikala have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2023 | Trikala(away) | 2-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2023 | Asteras Petriti(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Chalkis(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Zakynthos(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Panelefsiniakos(away) | 0-5 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Larisa(home) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Lamia(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Aris Filiates(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Elassona(away) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Tilikratis(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Digenis Neochori win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Trikala win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2023 | Trikala 2-2 Digenis Neochori | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Digenis Neochori 0-2 Trikala | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Trikala vs Digenis Neochori on Apr 23, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Digenis Neochori score 0.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Trikala score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Digenis Neochori | 0.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Trikala | 1.2 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Digenis Neochori vs Trikala?
- The Footlab model makes Trikala the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Digenis Neochori.
- Where and when is Digenis Neochori vs Trikala played?
- Digenis Neochori vs Trikala is played on January 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Oichalias Babis Papachatzis, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.