Elassona vs Iraklis Larissa: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4Group 4 - 16Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Elassónas, Elassona
The Footlab model makes Elassona the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Iraklis Larissa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elassona vs Iraklis Larissa?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Elassona (1,576) and Iraklis Larissa (1,480).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elassona have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Iraklis Larissa have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou(home) | 2-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group |
| May 13, 2026 | Apollon Pontou(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group |
| May 10, 2026 | Panthrakikos(away) | 1-5 | Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group |
| May 3, 2026 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou(away) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Apollon Pontou(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2023 | Veria(away) | 0-3 | Super League 2 |
| Jun 10, 2023 | Makedonikos Neapolis(home) | 0-0 | Super League 2 |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Panathinaikos II(away) | 1-3 | Super League 2 |
| May 28, 2023 | Panserraikos(home) | 2-0 | Super League 2 |
| May 19, 2023 | Iraklis 1908(away) | 1-4 | Super League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Elassona win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Iraklis Larissa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2022 | Elassona 0-1 Iraklis Larissa | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Dec 4, 2021 | Iraklis Larissa 3-2 Elassona | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| May 30, 2021 | Iraklis Larissa 0-1 Elassona | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Elassona vs Iraklis Larissa on Mar 6, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Elassona score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Iraklis Larissa score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elassona | 1.0 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Iraklis Larissa | 0.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elassona vs Iraklis Larissa?
- The Footlab model makes Elassona the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Iraklis Larissa.
- Where and when is Elassona vs Iraklis Larissa played?
- Elassona vs Iraklis Larissa is played on January 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Elassónas, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.