Elassona vs Iraklis Larissa: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4Group 4 - 16Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Elassónas, Elassona
The Footlab AI model makes Elassona the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Iraklis Larissa. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,336 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elassona vs Iraklis Larissa?
Elassona starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,673 vs 1,513).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Elassona vs Iraklis Larissa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Elassona
Not enough data to predict the Elassona lineup.
Iraklis Larissa
4-3-3- 90F. Keri
- 95D. Casas
- 9O. Syrengelas
- 3K. Kamperis
- 31S. Gougoudis
- 25L. Bossio
- 4A. Galitsios
- 80D. Tasioulis
- 46G. Lagonidis
- 13M. Giannitsis
- 1S. Farmakis
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 06:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elassona have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Iraklis Larissa have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Sarakinos(home) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Iraklis Larissa(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Feraios(home) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Anthoupoli(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ermis Exochi(away) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Anthoupoli(away) | 0-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Feraios(away) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Elassona(home) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ermis Exochi(away) | 1-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou(home) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Elassona win, 1 draw, 2 Iraklis Larissa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Iraklis Larissa 1-1 Elassona | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Mar 6, 2022 | Elassona 0-1 Iraklis Larissa | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Dec 4, 2021 | Iraklis Larissa 3-2 Elassona | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| May 30, 2021 | Iraklis Larissa 0-1 Elassona | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Iraklis Larissa vs Elassona on Oct 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Elassona score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Iraklis Larissa score 0.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elassona | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Iraklis Larissa | 0.5 | 1.9 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elassona sit 4th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 (3 points from 2 matches) and Iraklis Larissa sit 10th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Elassona | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Iraklis Larissa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
A question about Elassona vs Iraklis Larissa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elassona vs Iraklis Larissa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Elassona the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Iraklis Larissa.
- Where and when is Elassona vs Iraklis Larissa played?
- Elassona vs Iraklis Larissa is played on January 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Elassónas, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.