Dinamo Batumi vs Saburtalo: prediction and stats
Erovnuli LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on September 9, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Chele Arena, Kobuleti
The Footlab model makes Saburtalo the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Dinamo Batumi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Batumi vs Saburtalo?
Saburtalo starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,776 vs 1,645).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Batumi have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Saburtalo have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Meshakhte(away) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Samgurali(away) | 4-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gagra(home) | 2-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Telavi(home) | 1-0 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Irao(away) | 4-1 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Jagiellonia(away) | 0-4 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Torpedo Kutaisi(away) | 3-4 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Larne(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Larne(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Dinamo Batumi win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Saburtalo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | Saburtalo 1-0 Dinamo Batumi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Dinamo Batumi 0-3 Saburtalo | Erovnuli Liga |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Dinamo Batumi 0-2 Saburtalo | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Saburtalo 5-1 Dinamo Batumi | David Kipiani Cup |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Saburtalo 0-0 Dinamo Batumi | Erovnuli Liga |
| May 7, 2025 | Dinamo Batumi 2-3 Saburtalo | Erovnuli Liga |
Last archived meeting: Saburtalo vs Dinamo Batumi on May 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Batumi score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Saburtalo score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Batumi | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Saburtalo | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo Batumi sit 4th in Erovnuli Liga (34 points from 22 matches) and Saburtalo sit 3rd (34 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Saburtalo | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 34 |
| 4 | Dinamo Batumi | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 32 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Batumi vs Saburtalo?
- The Footlab model makes Saburtalo the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Dinamo Batumi.
- Where and when is Dinamo Batumi vs Saburtalo played?
- Dinamo Batumi vs Saburtalo is played on September 9, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Chele Arena, in the Erovnuli Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.