Spaeri vs Saburtalo: prediction and stats
Erovnuli LigaRegular Season - 35Kick-off on December 2, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Saburtalo the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Spaeri. The most likely score is 1-1. If Saburtalo wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,479 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spaeri vs Saburtalo?
Saburtalo starts as the favourite with a 217-point Elo edge (1,734 vs 1,517).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Spaeri vs Saburtalo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Spaeri
4-2-3-1- 17L. Kokhreidze
- 6T. Askurava
- 5T. Tsalughelashvili
- 8S. Maisuradze
- 24Z. Golubiani
- 21O. Gordeziani
- 7S. Gegiadze
- 14G. Samkharadze
- 22N. Chagunava
- 31G. Bunturi
- 1B. Putkaradze
Saburtalo
4-3-3- 9A. Dzagania
- 10Z. Natchkebia
- 17S. Ende
- 19N. Sikharulashvili
- 8B. Kardava
- 18Lucas Brune
- 5J. Jinjolava
- 25A. Amisulashvili
- 4V. Selimović
- 3P. Cancar
- 31G. Makaridze
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spaeri have 1 win, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Saburtalo have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Torpedo Kutaisi(home) | 3-3 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Dila(home) | 1-4 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Saburtalo(away) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Rustavi(home) | 1-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Meshakhte(away) | 2-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | St. Truiden(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Meshakhte(away) | 2-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(home) | 1-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Rustavi(away) | 2-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Dila(home) | 2-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Spaeri wins, 1 draw, 3 Saburtalo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Saburtalo 1-0 Spaeri | Erovnuli Liga |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Saburtalo 1-1 Spaeri | Erovnuli Liga |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Spaeri 0-2 Saburtalo | Erovnuli Liga |
| Apr 20, 2021 | Spaeri 0-1 Saburtalo | David Kipiani Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Spaeri score 1.4 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Saburtalo score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spaeri | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Saburtalo | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spaeri sit 9th in Erovnuli Liga (26 points from 28 matches) and Saburtalo sit 2nd (49 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Saburtalo | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 40 | 31 | 49 |
| 9 | Spaeri | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 46 | 26 |
A question about Spaeri vs Saburtalo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spaeri vs Saburtalo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Saburtalo the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Spaeri.
- Where and when is Spaeri vs Saburtalo played?
- Spaeri vs Saburtalo is played on December 2, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Erovnuli Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.