Dinamo Jug vs Grafičar: prediction and stats
Prva LigaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion YUMCO, Vranje
The Footlab model makes Dinamo Jug the favourite at 49%, against 31% for a draw and 19% for Grafičar. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Jug vs Grafičar?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Dinamo Jug (1,633) and Grafičar (1,569).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Jug have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Grafičar have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | Kabel Novi Sad(away) | 4-2 | Prva Liga |
| May 24, 2026 | Dubočica(home) | 3-0 | Prva Liga |
| May 17, 2026 | Borac Cacak(away) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
| May 11, 2026 | Tekstilac Odžaci(home) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
| May 7, 2026 | Stepojevac Vaga(home) | 2-0 | Prva Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Loznica(home) | 2-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FK Vozdovac(away) | 1-0 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Semendrija 1924(home) | 1-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Napredak(away) | 0-1 | Prva Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Borac Cacak(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Dinamo Jug win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Grafičar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Dinamo Jug 1-0 Grafičar | Prva Liga |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Dinamo Jug 1-1 Grafičar | Prva Liga |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Grafičar 1-2 Dinamo Jug | Prva Liga |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Jug vs Grafičar on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Jug score 1.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Grafičar score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Jug | 1.2 | 0.7 | 9 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Grafičar | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grafičar | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Jug vs Grafičar?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo Jug the favourite at 49%, against 31% for a draw and 19% for Grafičar.
- Where and when is Dinamo Jug vs Grafičar played?
- Dinamo Jug vs Grafičar is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion YUMCO, in the Prva Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.