Dinamo Kirov vs Novosibirsk: prediction and stats
Second League A - Division A GoldFall Season Gold - 15Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rossiya, Novovyatsk
The Footlab model makes Dinamo Kirov the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Novosibirsk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Kirov vs Novosibirsk?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Dinamo Kirov (1,812) and Novosibirsk (1,801).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Kirov have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Novosibirsk have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Amkar(home) | 4-4 | Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dinamo Vladivostok(home) | 1-2 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Alaniya Vladikavkaz(away) | 0-2 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Broke Boys(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mashuk-KMV(home) | 0-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FK Sokol Saratov(away) | 2-2 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Volgar Astrakhan(home) | 2-2 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 12, 2026 | KDV(away) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dinamo Bryansk(away) | 0-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rodina Moskva II(home) | 1-3 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Dinamo Kirov win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Novosibirsk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2025 | Dinamo Kirov 2-1 Novosibirsk | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Novosibirsk 4-1 Dinamo Kirov | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Dinamo Kirov 1-2 Novosibirsk | Second League A - Spring Season Silver |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Novosibirsk 1-1 Dinamo Kirov | Second League A - Spring Season Silver |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Kirov vs Novosibirsk on Oct 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Kirov score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Novosibirsk score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Kirov | 1.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Novosibirsk | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo Kirov sit 2nd in Second League A - Division A Gold (8 points from 5 matches) and Novosibirsk sit 6th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dinamo Kirov | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Novosibirsk | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Kirov vs Novosibirsk?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo Kirov the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Novosibirsk.
- Where and when is Dinamo Kirov vs Novosibirsk played?
- Dinamo Kirov vs Novosibirsk is played on October 23, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rossiya, in the Second League A - Division A Gold.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.