FK Sokol Saratov vs Rodina Moskva II: prediction and stats
Second League A - Division A GoldFall Season Gold - 15Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Lokomotiv, Saratov
The Footlab model makes Rodina Moskva II the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for FK Sokol Saratov. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FK Sokol Saratov vs Rodina Moskva II?
Rodina Moskva II starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,792 vs 1,692).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Sokol Saratov have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Rodina Moskva II have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Nosta(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Novosibirsk(home) | 2-2 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dinamo Vladivostok(away) | 0-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Ilpar(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Alaniya Vladikavkaz(home) | 2-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Volgar Astrakhan(away) | 1-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dinamo Bryansk(home) | 3-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kaluga(away) | 0-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Novosibirsk(away) | 3-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dinamo Vladivostok(home) | 0-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 FK Sokol Saratov win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Rodina Moskva II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2023 | Rodina Moskva II 1-2 FK Sokol Saratov | Second League - Group 3 |
| Apr 22, 2023 | FK Sokol Saratov 1-0 Rodina Moskva II | Second League - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Rodina Moskva II vs FK Sokol Saratov on May 22, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
FK Sokol Saratov score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rodina Moskva II score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Sokol Saratov | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Rodina Moskva II | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FK Sokol Saratov sit 8th in Second League A - Division A Gold (5 points from 5 matches) and Rodina Moskva II sit 1st (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodina Moskva II | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 | FK Sokol Saratov | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FK Sokol Saratov vs Rodina Moskva II?
- The Footlab model makes Rodina Moskva II the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for FK Sokol Saratov.
- Where and when is FK Sokol Saratov vs Rodina Moskva II played?
- FK Sokol Saratov vs Rodina Moskva II is played on October 23, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Lokomotiv, in the Second League A - Division A Gold.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.