Mashuk-KMV vs Dinamo Vladivostok: prediction and stats
Second League A - Division A GoldFall Season Gold - 15Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Central'nyj Stadion Mashuk, Pyatigorsk
The Footlab model makes Mashuk-KMV the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Dinamo Vladivostok. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mashuk-KMV vs Dinamo Vladivostok?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Mashuk-KMV (1,800) and Dinamo Vladivostok (1,712).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mashuk-KMV have 5 wins, 9 draws and 1 defeats; Dinamo Vladivostok have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Alaniya Vladikavkaz(home) | 0-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kaluga(home) | 1-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Astrakhan(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dinamo Kirov(away) | 0-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FK Sokol Saratov(home) | 1-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dinamo Kirov(away) | 2-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FK Sokol Saratov(home) | 1-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Dinamo Barnaul(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Volgar Astrakhan(away) | 0-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dinamo Bryansk(home) | 1-2 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
How many goals should we expect?
Mashuk-KMV score 1.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Vladivostok score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mashuk-KMV | 1.2 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Dinamo Vladivostok | 0.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mashuk-KMV sit 5th in Second League A - Division A Gold (7 points from 5 matches) and Dinamo Vladivostok sit 9th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mashuk-KMV | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Dinamo Vladivostok | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mashuk-KMV vs Dinamo Vladivostok?
- The Footlab model makes Mashuk-KMV the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Dinamo Vladivostok.
- Where and when is Mashuk-KMV vs Dinamo Vladivostok played?
- Mashuk-KMV vs Dinamo Vladivostok is played on October 23, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Central'nyj Stadion Mashuk, in the Second League A - Division A Gold.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.