Dinamo St. Petersburg vs Zvezda St. Petersburg: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 2Group 2 - 29Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Malaya Sportivnaya Arena, St. Petersburg
The Footlab model makes Dinamo St. Petersburg the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Zvezda St. Petersburg. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo St. Petersburg vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
Dinamo St. Petersburg starts as the favourite with a 219-point Elo edge (1,805 vs 1,586).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo St. Petersburg have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Zvezda St. Petersburg have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cherepovets(home) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Spartak Moscow 2(away) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | FC 10(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tver(home) | 3-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Iskra Smolensk(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dinamo Vologda(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Luki-Energiya(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Baltika II(away) | 3-4 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Yenisey II(home) | 4-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Chertanovo Moscow(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dinamo St. Petersburg win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Zvezda St. Petersburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Zvezda St. Petersburg 1-1 Dinamo St. Petersburg | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Zvezda St. Petersburg 1-7 Dinamo St. Petersburg | Second League - Group 2 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Dinamo St. Petersburg 2-0 Zvezda St. Petersburg | Second League - Group 2 |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Dinamo St. Petersburg 0-1 Zvezda St. Petersburg | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 23, 2023 | Dinamo St. Petersburg 2-2 Zvezda St. Petersburg | Cup |
| Oct 19, 2022 | Dinamo St. Petersburg 0-1 Zvezda St. Petersburg | Second League - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Dinamo St. Petersburg on Jul 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo St. Petersburg score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Zvezda St. Petersburg score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo St. Petersburg | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Zvezda St. Petersburg | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo St. Petersburg sit 1st in Second League - Group 2 (28 points from 11 matches) and Zvezda St. Petersburg sit 9th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 3 | 28 |
| 1 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 30 | 10 | 39 |
| 9 | Zvezda St. Petersburg | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 12 |
| 11 | Zvezda St. Petersburg | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 24 | 26 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo St. Petersburg vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo St. Petersburg the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Zvezda St. Petersburg.
- Where and when is Dinamo St. Petersburg vs Zvezda St. Petersburg played?
- Dinamo St. Petersburg vs Zvezda St. Petersburg is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Malaya Sportivnaya Arena, in the Second League - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.