Tver vs Iskra Smolensk: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 2Group 2 - 29Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Junost', Tver'
The Footlab model makes Tver the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Iskra Smolensk. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tver vs Iskra Smolensk?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Tver (1,581) and Iskra Smolensk (1,535).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tver have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Iskra Smolensk have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chertanovo Moscow(away) | 0-4 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny(home) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Dinamo Vologda(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dinamo St. Petersburg(away) | 2-3 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Cherepovets(home) | 5-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Yenisey II(away) | 0-4 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chertanovo Moscow(home) | 0-3 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Kaluga(away) | 0-5 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny(away) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dinamo St. Petersburg(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Tver win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Iskra Smolensk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Iskra Smolensk 2-4 Tver | Second League - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Iskra Smolensk vs Tver on Jul 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tver score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Iskra Smolensk score 0.8 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tver | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Iskra Smolensk | 0.8 | 2.4 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tver sit 11th in Second League - Group 2 (10 points from 12 matches) and Iskra Smolensk sit 13th (10 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Tver | 19 | 7 | 1 | 11 | 28 | 34 | 22 |
| 11 | Tver | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 23 | 10 |
| 13 | Iskra Smolensk | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 10 |
| 15 | Iskra Smolensk | 19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 41 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tver vs Iskra Smolensk?
- The Footlab model makes Tver the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Iskra Smolensk.
- Where and when is Tver vs Iskra Smolensk played?
- Tver vs Iskra Smolensk is played on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Junost', in the Second League - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.