Cherepovets vs Luki-Energiya: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 2Group 2 - 29Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Stadion Metallurg, Cherepovets
The Footlab AI model makes Luki-Energiya the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Cherepovets. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,695 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cherepovets vs Luki-Energiya?
Luki-Energiya starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,697 vs 1,583).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cherepovets vs Luki-Energiya
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cherepovets
4-3-3- 99I. Antsiferov
- 2M. Karamyshev
- 20E. Snegirov
- 77M. Andreev
- 11K. Kulkov
- 47D. Serebryakov
- 18V. Maklasov
- 15D. Berezov
- 27D. Gadzhiev
- 14R. Yamlikhanov
- 1A. Pyrkin
Luki-Energiya
4-3-1-2- 9D. Dibirgadzhiev
- 21E. Pankov
- 7I. Shvedyuk
- 80A. Pipo
- 88I. Galanin
- 23O. Kuzmin
- 14V. Andyamov
- 6L. Ushakhin
- 7A. Korenblyum
- 4V. Lunev
- 30D. Saganovich
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 01:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cherepovets have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Luki-Energiya have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Zvezda St. Petersburg(away) | 0-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Torpedo Vladimir(home) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Dinamo Vologda(home) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Baltika II(away) | 4-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Yenisey II(home) | 3-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Leningradets(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Tver(away) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Iskra Smolensk(home) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Murom(away) | 0-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Zvezda St. Petersburg(away) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Cherepovets wins, 1 draw, 2 Luki-Energiya wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2026 | Luki-Energiya 4-1 Cherepovets | Cup |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Luki-Energiya 3-0 Cherepovets | Second League - Group 2 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Cherepovets 1-0 Luki-Energiya | Second League - Group 2 |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Luki-Energiya 2-4 Cherepovets | Cup |
| May 25, 2025 | Luki-Energiya 1-1 Cherepovets | Second League - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets on Aug 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cherepovets score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Luki-Energiya score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherepovets | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Luki-Energiya | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cherepovets sit 9th in Second League - Group 2 (24 points from 20 matches) and Luki-Energiya sit 3rd (42 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Luki-Energiya | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 36 | 18 | 42 |
| 9 | Cherepovets | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 32 | 24 |
A question about Cherepovets vs Luki-Energiya?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cherepovets vs Luki-Energiya?
- The Footlab AI model makes Luki-Energiya the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Cherepovets.
- Where and when is Cherepovets vs Luki-Energiya played?
- Cherepovets vs Luki-Energiya is played on October 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Stadion Metallurg, in the Second League - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.