Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali: prediction and stats
Erovnuli LigaRegular Season - 36Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena, Tbilisi
The Footlab AI model makes Dinamo Tbilisi the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Samgurali. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dinamo Tbilisi wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,204 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali?
Dinamo Tbilisi starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (1,743 vs 1,579).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dinamo Tbilisi
4-2-3-1- 14M. Do Couto
- 22N. Ninua
- 4N. Ugrekhelidze
- 8Welton
- 24B. Osei
- 10G. Kharaishvili
- 13M. Pourzitídis
- 27N. Kurdić
- 17P. Psaltis
- 6Leonardo Santos
- 20Lucas Flores
Samgurali
4-1-4-1- 9T. Gaprindashvili
- 20Vinicius Vianna
- 8I. Bidzinashvili
- 10L. Gilmore
- 26Z. Iashvili
- 33Isac Martins
- 13L. Gegetchkori
- 27L. Shergelashvili
- 25M. Shatirishvili
- 4O. Patarkatsishvili
- 21A. Siukaev
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 08:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Tbilisi have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Samgurali have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Dila(away) | 2-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Saburtalo(home) | 0-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Rustavi(away) | 2-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Spaeri(home) | 3-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Dinamo Batumi(away) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Rustavi(away) | 0-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Spaeri(home) | 0-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Dinamo Batumi(away) | 0-3 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Meshakhte(home) | 2-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Gagra(home) | 3-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Dinamo Tbilisi wins, 2 draws, 1 Samgurali win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Samgurali 2-3 Dinamo Tbilisi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi 5-3 Samgurali | Erovnuli Liga |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Samgurali 1-2 Dinamo Tbilisi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Feb 2, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi 1-1 Samgurali | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Samgurali 2-1 Dinamo Tbilisi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Dinamo Tbilisi 1-1 Samgurali | Erovnuli Liga |
Last archived meeting: Samgurali vs Dinamo Tbilisi on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Tbilisi score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Samgurali score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Samgurali | 1.3 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo Tbilisi sit 3rd in Erovnuli Liga (58 points from 32 matches) and Samgurali sit 7th (39 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 52 | 32 | 58 |
| 7 | Samgurali | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 43 | 57 | 39 |
A question about Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dinamo Tbilisi the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Samgurali.
- Where and when is Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali played?
- Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali is played on December 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena, in the Erovnuli Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.