Meshakhte vs Gagra: prediction and stats
Erovnuli LigaRegular Season - 36Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadioni Vladimer Bochorishvili, Tkibuli
The Footlab AI model makes Gagra the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Meshakhte. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gagra wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Meshakhte vs Gagra?
Gagra starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,576 vs 1,472).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Meshakhte vs Gagra
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Meshakhte
5-4-1- 9I. Sikharulidze
- 22T. Šikalo
- 7E. Jijavadze
- 23B. Shubitidze
- 27G. Kantaria
- 26B. Gabiskiria
- 13G. Burduli
- 38I. Zotko
- 31Eric Pimentel
- 40L. Ugrekhelidze
- 29L. Shovnadze
Gagra
4-4-2- 30G. Goshteliani
- 11S. Zoidze
- 25Wanderson
- 33L. Gurchiani
- 8I. Skrypnyk
- 6M. Tsintsadze
- 40Claudinei
- 14Z. Tchavtchanidze
- 2Augusto
- 7P. Borges
- 1O. Vorobey
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Meshakhte have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Gagra have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Saburtalo(home) | 1-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gagra(away) | 1-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Rustavi(home) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(away) | 0-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Spaeri(home) | 2-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Samgurali(away) | 0-3 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Meshakhte(home) | 1-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(away) | 0-4 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Torpedo Kutaisi(home) | 1-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Dila(away) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Meshakhte win, 3 draws, 2 Gagra wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gagra 1-1 Meshakhte | Erovnuli Liga |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Meshakhte 1-1 Gagra | Erovnuli Liga |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Gagra 1-1 Meshakhte | Erovnuli Liga |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Meshakhte 2-1 Gagra | David Kipiani Cup |
| Nov 21, 2017 | Gagra 4-1 Meshakhte | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 14, 2017 | Meshakhte 0-2 Gagra | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Meshakhte score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Gagra score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meshakhte | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Gagra | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Meshakhte sit 10th in Erovnuli Liga (17 points from 28 matches) and Gagra sit 8th (29 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Gagra | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 25 | 40 | 29 |
| 10 | Meshakhte | 28 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 21 | 46 | 17 |
A question about Meshakhte vs Gagra?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Meshakhte vs Gagra?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gagra the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Meshakhte.
- Where and when is Meshakhte vs Gagra played?
- Meshakhte vs Gagra is played on December 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadioni Vladimer Bochorishvili, in the Erovnuli Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.