Saburtalo vs Rustavi: prediction and stats
Erovnuli LigaRegular Season - 36Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Mikheil Meskhis sakhelobis Stadioni, Tbilisi
The Footlab AI model makes Saburtalo the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Rustavi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Saburtalo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Saburtalo vs Rustavi?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Saburtalo (1,742) and Rustavi (1,693).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Saburtalo vs Rustavi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Saburtalo
4-3-3- 9A. Dzagania
- 10Z. Natchkebia
- 17S. Ende
- 19N. Sikharulashvili
- 8B. Kardava
- 18Lucas Brune
- 5J. Jinjolava
- 25A. Amisulashvili
- 4V. Selimović
- 3P. Cancar
- 31G. Makaridze
Rustavi
4-3-3- 9Jean
- 10P. Osei
- 5Kevin William Ceijas
- 22Y. Nakano
- 13A. Gujabidze
- 7K. S. Abdul
- 3V. Patsatsia
- 19N. Chikovani
- 4David
- 2S. Andghuladze
- 21P. Beruashvili
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 09:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saburtalo have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Rustavi have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Meshakhte(away) | 2-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(home) | 1-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Rustavi(away) | 2-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Dila(home) | 2-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Spaeri(home) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dila(home) | 3-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Samtredia(away) | 2-1 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Saburtalo(home) | 0-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Meshakhte(away) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Spaeri(away) | 1-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Saburtalo wins, 1 draw, 3 Rustavi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2026 | Rustavi 0-2 Saburtalo | Erovnuli Liga |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Saburtalo 1-2 Rustavi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Rustavi 2-1 Saburtalo | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 6, 2019 | Rustavi 0-3 Saburtalo | Erovnuli Liga |
| Jul 2, 2019 | Saburtalo 2-2 Rustavi | Erovnuli Liga |
| May 10, 2019 | Rustavi 3-1 Saburtalo | Erovnuli Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Saburtalo score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Rustavi score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saburtalo | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Rustavi | 1.5 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Saburtalo sit 2nd in Erovnuli Liga (49 points from 28 matches) and Rustavi sit 1st (49 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rustavi | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 24 | 49 |
| 2 | Saburtalo | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 40 | 31 | 49 |
A question about Saburtalo vs Rustavi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Saburtalo vs Rustavi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Saburtalo the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Rustavi.
- Where and when is Saburtalo vs Rustavi played?
- Saburtalo vs Rustavi is played on December 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Mikheil Meskhis sakhelobis Stadioni, in the Erovnuli Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.