Dinamo Tirana vs Teuta Durrës: prediction and stats
SuperligaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Elbasan Arena, Elbasan
The Footlab model makes Dinamo Tirana the favourite at 49%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Teuta Durrës. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Tirana vs Teuta Durrës?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Dinamo Tirana (1,823) and Teuta Durrës (1,730).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Tirana have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Teuta Durrës have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vora(home) | 0-1 | Superliga |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Pafos(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Auda(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Auda(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Aluminij(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Partizani(away) | 0-0 | Superliga |
| May 16, 2026 | Pogradeci(home) | 1-0 | Superliga |
| May 10, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë(home) | 3-2 | Superliga |
| May 6, 2026 | Flamurtari(away) | 1-1 | Superliga |
| May 2, 2026 | Tirana(home) | 0-1 | Superliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Dinamo Tirana win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Teuta Durrës win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Dinamo Tirana 0-1 Teuta Durrës | Superliga |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Teuta Durrës 0-0 Dinamo Tirana | Superliga |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Dinamo Tirana 0-0 Teuta Durrës | Superliga |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Teuta Durrës 1-0 Dinamo Tirana | Superliga |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Dinamo Tirana 1-1 Teuta Durrës | Superliga |
| Feb 10, 2025 | Teuta Durrës 0-0 Dinamo Tirana | Superliga |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Tirana vs Teuta Durrës on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Tirana score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Teuta Durrës score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tirana | 1.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Teuta Durrës | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo Tirana sit 9th in Superliga (0 points from 1 matches) and Teuta Durrës sit 8th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Teuta Durrës | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Dinamo Tirana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Tirana vs Teuta Durrës?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo Tirana the favourite at 49%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Teuta Durrës.
- Where and when is Dinamo Tirana vs Teuta Durrës played?
- Dinamo Tirana vs Teuta Durrës is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Elbasan Arena, in the Superliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.