Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Vllaznia Shkodër: prediction and stats
SuperligaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Arena Egnatia, Rrogozhinë
The Footlab model makes Egnatia Rrogozhinë the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Vllaznia Shkodër. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Vllaznia Shkodër?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Egnatia Rrogozhinë (1,869) and Vllaznia Shkodër (1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Egnatia Rrogozhinë have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Vllaznia Shkodër have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Tirana(home) | 3-0 | Superliga |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Lillestrom(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers(home) | 5-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Celje(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Skenderbeu Korce(home) | 2-2 | Superliga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vora(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Laci(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Malisheva(away) | 0-5 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Malisheva(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Egnatia Rrogozhinë win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Vllaznia Shkodër win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Vllaznia Shkodër 1-2 Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Superliga |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0-0 Vllaznia Shkodër | Superliga |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Vllaznia Shkodër 1-0 Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Superliga |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2-2 Vllaznia Shkodër | Superliga |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Vllaznia Shkodër 2-0 Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Superliga |
| May 12, 2025 | Vllaznia Shkodër 0-4 Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Superliga |
Last archived meeting: Vllaznia Shkodër vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Egnatia Rrogozhinë score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Vllaznia Shkodër score 1.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Vllaznia Shkodër | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Egnatia Rrogozhinë sit 1st in Superliga (3 points from 1 matches) and Vllaznia Shkodër sit 3rd (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Vllaznia Shkodër | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Vllaznia Shkodër?
- The Footlab model makes Egnatia Rrogozhinë the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Vllaznia Shkodër.
- Where and when is Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Vllaznia Shkodër played?
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Vllaznia Shkodër is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Egnatia, in the Superliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.